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Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2009                                   +5.3%(8.4%)+3.0%+21.7%(0.9%)(2.7%)(3.6%)
2010+7.5%+9.4%(8.7%)+3.8%(21.9%)+8.9%  -    -    -    -    -    -  
2011  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  
2012  -    -    -    -    -                                            

Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Technical Analysis:  Moving Average daysX

Model Account Status

Started$50,000
Buy Power$56,937
Cash$1
Equity$1
Cumulative $$6,937
Total System Equity$56,937
Margined$1
Open P/L$0
System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.





Trade Record

CSVDetails


System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.

Hypothetical Trading Results
Opened ETB/S#Symbol PriceClosedPriceRiskP/L
6/8/10 15:06 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 611.70 6/1016:03 637.70 Low $2,586
6/4/10 9:40 BUY 2 @NQM0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 1865.75 6/1016:03 1825.50 High ($1,638)
6/8/10 11:50 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 614.10 6/814:10 608.80 Low ($544)
6/8/10 10:26 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 613 6/811:22 610.90 Low ($224)
6/7/10 11:22 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 627.40 6/89:58 613.90 Normal ($1,364)
6/7/10 9:58 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 636.20 6/710:54 629 Low ($734)
6/3/10 9:58 SELL 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 666.40 6/79:30 637.50 Low $2,876
5/28/10 9:40 SELL 2 @NQM0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 1859.25 6/49:40 1865.50 Normal ($278)
6/2/10 9:58 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 642.60 6/39:30 660.30 Low $1,756
5/27/10 15:06 SELL 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 664.50 6/29:30 645.20 Low $1,916
5/27/10 11:22 SELL 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 656.70 5/2714:38 664.70 n/a ($814)
5/27/10 9:58 SELL 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 654.80 5/2710:54 658.50 n/a ($384)
5/19/10 9:40 BUY 2 @NQM0 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 1888.50 5/2710:10 1836.50 Very ($2,108)
5/26/10 9:58 SELL 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 653.50 5/279:30 658.80 Low ($544)
5/25/10 10:26 BUY 1 @TFSM0 Emini Russell 624.70 5/269:30 643.20 Low $1,836

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Reviews


 
July 25, 2009 from Subscriber

Risky and dangerous system, holds 3 index contracts overnight, and over the weekends. Lost almost 7K in last 5 trading days taking large losses on short trades and quicly entering another short 3 times in a row during very strong last week rally giving up all gains since inception. System is supposed to smooth equity curve of Gen 2 however outweights it in contract size almost 3:1.



Statistics

Analytics  
All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results
Trades196
# Profitable87 (44.4%)
# months tracked36
Profitable months7 (19.4%)
Avg trade duration3.3 days
Annual return (compounded)4.5%
Average win$1,264
Average loss$945
Profit factor1.1:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)29.04%
drawdown periodFeb 16, 2010 to May 25, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P0.003
Sharpe ratio0.169
Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss75.0%
Chance of 20% account loss29.4%
Chance of 30% account loss17.6%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)0.03
Average P/L per unit traded$10.21