Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes typical commissions and system fees)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2009 +5.3% (8.4%) +3.0% +21.7% (0.9%) (2.7%) (3.6%) 2010 +7.5% +9.4% (8.7%) +3.8% (21.9%) +8.9% - - - - - - 2011 - - - - - - - - - - - - 2012 - - - - -
Remember there is a substantial risk of loss in trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Do not trade with money you cannot afford to lose.
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Standard | Monte Carlo Technical Analysis: Moving Average
day
s X Moving average must be less than age of system, which is 1076 days.
Model Account Status Started $50,000 Buy Power $56,937 Cash $1 Equity $1 Cumulative $ $6,937 Total System Equity $56,937 Margined $1 Open P/L $0 System vendor has delayed data by 7 days for non-subs.
Trade Record CSV Details System creator requested that closed trades data below be delayed by seven days.
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Price Risk P/L
6/8/10 15:06
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
611.70
6/1016:03
637.70
Low
$2,586
6/4/10 9:40
BUY
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1865.75
6/1016:03
1825.50
High
($1,638)
6/8/10 11:50
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
614.10
6/814:10
608.80
Low
($544)
6/8/10 10:26
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
613
6/811:22
610.90
Low
($224)
6/7/10 11:22
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
627.40
6/89:58
613.90
Normal
($1,364)
6/7/10 9:58
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
636.20
6/710:54
629
Low
($734)
6/3/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
666.40
6/79:30
637.50
Low
$2,876
5/28/10 9:40
SELL
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1859.25
6/49:40
1865.50
Normal
($278)
6/2/10 9:58
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
642.60
6/39:30
660.30
Low
$1,756
5/27/10 15:06
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
664.50
6/29:30
645.20
Low
$1,916
5/27/10 11:22
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
656.70
5/2714:38
664.70
n/a
($814)
5/27/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
654.80
5/2710:54
658.50
n/a
($384)
5/19/10 9:40
BUY
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1888.50
5/2710:10
1836.50
Very
($2,108)
5/26/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
653.50
5/279:30
658.80
Low
($544)
5/25/10 10:26
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
624.70
5/269:30
643.20
Low
$1,836
Hypothetical Trading Results Opened ET B/S # Symbol Price Closed Close Price Risk P/L
6/8/10 15:06
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
611.70
6/1016:03
637.70
Low
$2,586
6/8/10 15:06
BTO
1
@TFSM0
611.70
6/10/10 16:03
STC
1
@TFSM0
637.70
Auto Close (16:03)
6/4/10 9:40
BUY
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1865.75
6/1016:03
1825.50
High
($1,638)
6/4/10 9:40
BTO
2
@NQM0
1865.75
6/10/10 16:03
STC
2
@NQM0
1825.50
Auto Close (16:03)
6/8/10 11:50
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
614.10
6/814:10
608.80
Low
($544)
6/8/10 11:50
BTO
1
@TFSM0
614.10
6/8/10 14:10
STC
1
@TFSM0
608.80
6/8/10 10:26
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
613
6/811:22
610.90
Low
($224)
6/8/10 10:26
BTO
1
@TFSM0
613
6/8/10 11:22
STC
1
@TFSM0
610.90
6/7/10 11:22
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
627.40
6/89:58
613.90
Normal
($1,364)
6/7/10 11:22
BTO
1
@TFSM0
627.40
6/8/10 9:58
STC
1
@TFSM0
613.90
6/7/10 9:58
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
636.20
6/710:54
629
Low
($734)
6/7/10 9:58
BTO
1
@TFSM0
636.20
6/7/10 10:54
STC
1
@TFSM0
629
6/3/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
666.40
6/79:30
637.50
Low
$2,876
6/3/10 9:58
STO
1
@TFSM0
666.40
6/7/10 9:30
BTC
1
@TFSM0
637.50
5/28/10 9:40
SELL
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1859.25
6/49:40
1865.50
Normal
($278)
5/28/10 9:40
STO
2
@NQM0
1859.25
6/4/10 9:40
BTC
2
@NQM0
1865.50
6/2/10 9:58
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
642.60
6/39:30
660.30
Low
$1,756
6/2/10 9:58
BTO
1
@TFSM0
642.60
6/3/10 9:30
STC
1
@TFSM0
660.30
5/27/10 15:06
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
664.50
6/29:30
645.20
Low
$1,916
5/27/10 15:06
STO
1
@TFSM0
664.50
6/2/10 9:30
BTC
1
@TFSM0
645.20
5/27/10 11:22
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
656.70
5/2714:38
664.70
n/a
($814)
5/27/10 11:22
STO
1
@TFSM0
656.70
5/27/10 14:38
BTC
1
@TFSM0
664.70
5/27/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
654.80
5/2710:54
658.50
n/a
($384)
5/27/10 9:58
STO
1
@TFSM0
654.80
5/27/10 10:54
BTC
1
@TFSM0
658.50
5/19/10 9:40
BUY
2
@NQM0
E-MINI NASDAQ 100
1888.50
5/2710:10
1836.50
Very
($2,108)
5/19/10 9:40
BTO
2
@NQM0
1888.50
5/27/10 10:10
STC
2
@NQM0
1836.50
5/26/10 9:58
SELL
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
653.50
5/279:30
658.80
Low
($544)
5/26/10 9:58
STO
1
@TFSM0
653.50
5/27/10 9:30
BTC
1
@TFSM0
658.80
5/25/10 10:26
BUY
1
@TFSM0
Emini Russell
624.70
5/269:30
643.20
Low
$1,836
5/25/10 10:26
BTO
1
@TFSM0
624.70
5/26/10 9:30
STC
1
@TFSM0
643.20
<< More recent
Reviews
July 25, 2009 from Subscriber
Risky and dangerous system, holds 3 index contracts overnight, and over the weekends. Lost almost 7K in last 5 trading days taking large losses on short trades and quicly entering another short 3 times in a row during very strong last week rally giving up all gains since inception.
System is supposed to smooth equity curve of Gen 2 however outweights it in contract size almost 3:1.
Statistics Analytics All Statistics Based on Hypothetical Results Trades 196 # Profitable 87 (44.4%) # months tracked 36 Profitable months 7 (19.4%) Avg trade duration 3.3 days Annual return (compounded) 4.5% Average win $1,264 Average loss $945 Profit factor 1.1:1 Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical) 29.04% drawdown period Feb 16, 2010 to May 25, 2010 Correlation w/ S&P 0.003 Sharpe ratio 0.169 Keep after worst-case slippage 100.0% Probabilities of future account loss   Chance of 10% account loss 75.0% Chance of 20% account loss 29.4% Chance of 30% account loss 17.6%
Chance of 50% account loss 0.0% Chance of 100% account loss 0.0% Average Profit to Drawdown (APD) 0.03 Average P/L per unit traded $10.21